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Author(s)

Yuval Salant

I establish how large a sample of past decisions is required to predict future decisions of a committee with few members. The committee uses majority rule to choose between pairs of alternatives. Each members vote is derived from a linear ordering over all the alternatives. I prove that there are cases in which an observer cannot predict precisely any decision of a committee based on its past decisions. Nonetheless, approximate prediction is possible after observing relatively few random past decisions.
Date Published: 2007
Citations: Salant, Yuval. 2007. On the Learnability of Majority Rule. Journal of Economic Theory. (1)196-213.